Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.24
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
12%
5.41
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.33/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
+26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.1 Crosses 15.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 370
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
08.12.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
01.09.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
31.03.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
19.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
18.03.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1-1
AWAY Krasnodar
1.39 xG 2.54
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
181 Passes 391
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krasnodar shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - Premier League on 23 Nov 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 37% of the ball to Krasnodar's 63%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 1.39 to 2.54.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 40%, draw 25%, Krasnodar 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ BTTS Yes
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