Krylya Sovetov 2-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.55
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
7%
6.37
X/2
14%
5.12
X/X
17%
4.69
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
22%
3.26
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +28%
1.08/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.26
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.1 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Rostov Rostov 1-4 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
07.12.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
26.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 3-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-0
AWAY Rostov
0.48 xG 1.24
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
195 Passes 350
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Box Touches 48
6 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov got the better of Rostov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 38% of the ball to Rostov's 62%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.48 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rostov.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.17 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov?

Krylya Sovetov 2-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 27%, draw 28%, Rostov 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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