Guingamp vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guingamp v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guingamp 1-0 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp squeezed past Troyes 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Guingamp made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Guingamp's favour, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.97 to 0.66.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Guingamp against 1.00 for Troyes.
Guingamp vs Troyes Result & Final Score
Guingamp 1-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guingamp vs Troyes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 35%, draw 29%, Troyes 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Troyes), BTTS Yes went the other way.