Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kisvarda v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
0-0
HT 0-0
Kisvarda
MAC
0-0
HT 0-0
Kisvarda
MAC
Kisvarda 2-3 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
MTK Budapest nicked a narrow win over Kisvarda 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kisvarda had 57% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.41 to 2.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kisvarda and 1.50 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest?
Kisvarda 2-3 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 46%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kisvarda) went the other way.