Puskas FC 1-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.77
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
24.2 Crosses 23.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.90 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
282 Passes 241
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
19.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
14.12.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
01.09.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
20.04.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.55 xG 2.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
230 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE squeezed past Puskas FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Paksi SE made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Puskas FC had 47% of the ball to Paksi SE's 53%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.55 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Puskas FC and 1.67 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Paksi SE?

Puskas FC 1-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 40%, draw 28%, Paksi SE 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
24 Jan 2026
14:30 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ujpest Analysis →
17:00 Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Analysis →