Paksi SE 3-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.08/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.70
+37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
34.0 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
242 Passes 294
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
14.12.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
01.09.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
20.04.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
23.09.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
3-2
AWAY Puskas FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE squeezed past Puskas FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paksi SE had 64% of the ball to Puskas FC's 36%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paksi SE and 2.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Paksi SE 3-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 51%, draw 23%, Puskas FC 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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