Chester 1-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.9
2-3
45%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.02
6+
8%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.9 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -26%
1.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.35
-13% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
359 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
04.02.2023 Chester Chester 1-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
01.11.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Chester Chester İCON
22.02.2022 Chester Chester 0-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
11.12.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 4-2 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
17.10.2020 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Spennymoor Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chester had 60% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 40%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chester and 1.83 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Chester vs Spennymoor Town?

Chester 1-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chester 49%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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