Portland Timbers 1-4 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
10%
12.05
X/1
11%
5.93
X/2
9%
5.99
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
20%
3.74
2/X
5%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.49/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.4 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.16 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 374
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 HT 3-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
29.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 1-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
23.06.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
31.03.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.08.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-3 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-4
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.74 xG 2.98
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
268 Passes 615
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps cruised past Portland Timbers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vancouver Whitecaps found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 34% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 66%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.74 to 2.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Portland Timbers 1-4 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 34%, draw 30%, Vancouver Whitecaps 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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