Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 59%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.57
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +65%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aguila
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
01.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
15.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and Aguila couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 22%, draw 28%, Aguila 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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