Porto 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 24 Feb 2025

Porto
1-1 HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
📅24/02/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No Pick
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
2.78
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.91
6+
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.85
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
7.38
2/X
9%
15.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Porto v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes The Market 24%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
2.42/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.0 Crosses 21.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 0.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
401 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
17.04.2024 Porto Porto 3-1 HT 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POK
07.04.2024 Porto Porto 1-2 HT 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
03.04.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POK
11.11.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-2 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POR
27.05.2023 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR

Porto 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
1-1
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
0.99 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
319 Passes 240
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Porto and Vitoria Guimaraes traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Porto at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Porto's favour, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.99 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Porto against 0.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Result & Final Score

Porto 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Porto 53%, draw 25%, Vitoria Guimaraes 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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