Talavera CF 1-0 Saguntino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Saguntino EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.07/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.96
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Saguntino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Saguntino Saguntino 0-1 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Saguntino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF squeezed past Saguntino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Talavera CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Saguntino?

Talavera CF 1-0 Saguntino in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Saguntino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 39%, draw 29%, Saguntino 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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