Tudelano 2-0 Brea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tudelano EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brea EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.50/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.34
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tudelano
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Brea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Brea Brea 1-3 HT 0-2 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
08.04.2023 Tudelano Tudelano 3-1 HT 1-0 Brea Brea İS4
27.11.2022 Brea Brea 1-0 HT 0-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tudelano
2-0
AWAY Brea
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tudelano vs Brea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tudelano got the better of Brea 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tudelano as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Tudelano had 57% of the ball to Brea's 43%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tudelano had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tudelano and 1.00 for Brea.

What was the final score of Tudelano vs Brea?

Tudelano 2-0 Brea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tudelano vs Brea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tudelano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tudelano 52%, draw 27%, Brea 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tudelano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tudelano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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