UD San Fernando 0-2 Llerenense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Llerenense EU Bookmakers 28%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.19
-61% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD San Fernando
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Llerenense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Llerenense Llerenense 1-0 HT 0-0 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
0-2
AWAY Llerenense
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Llerenense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llerenense saw off UD San Fernando 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UD San Fernando at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 53% of the ball to Llerenense's 47%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Llerenense?

UD San Fernando 0-2 Llerenense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Llerenense?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 45%, draw 31%, Llerenense 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD San Fernando) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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