Bosna-Hersek 2-1 Güney Kıbrıs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

Bosna-Hersek
2-1 HT 1-1
Güney Kıbrıs
📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Bosna-Hersek vs Güney Kıbrıs Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
14%
3.85
X/2
5%
12.9
X/X
16%
5.58
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
11%
11.25
2/X
7%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bosna-Hersek v Güney Kıbrıs — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.22/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.56
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
33.6 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Bosna-Hersek vs Güney Kıbrıs Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.46 xG 2.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 262
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2017 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 3-2 HT 0-2 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek DKE
10.10.2016 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 2-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs DKE
13.10.2015 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 2-3 HT 2-2 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek AVŞE
09.09.2014 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-2 HT 1-1 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs AVŞE

Bosna-Hersek 2-1 Güney Kıbrıs — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bosna-Hersek
2-1
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
1.12 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
299 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek vs Güney Kıbrıs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bosna-Hersek edged past Güney Kıbrıs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bosna-Hersek as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bosna-Hersek had 56% of the ball to Güney Kıbrıs's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.12 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bosna-Hersek and 1.75 for Güney Kıbrıs.

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Bosna-Hersek 2-1 Güney Kıbrıs in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bosna-Hersek win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek 50%, draw 28%, Güney Kıbrıs 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bosna-Hersek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bosna-Hersek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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