Gine Bissau 1-2 Burkina Faso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.28
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Burkina Faso EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gine Bissau
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Burkina Faso
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 1-1 HT 0-1 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau DKE
22.01.2017 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau 0-2 HT 0-1 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine Bissau
1-2
AWAY Burkina Faso
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gine Bissau vs Burkina Faso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burkina Faso edged past Gine Bissau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gine Bissau had 46% of the ball to Burkina Faso's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gine Bissau and 1.50 for Burkina Faso.

What was the final score of Gine Bissau vs Burkina Faso?

Gine Bissau 1-2 Burkina Faso in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine Bissau vs Burkina Faso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gine Bissau 28%, draw 30%, Burkina Faso 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burkina Faso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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