Liberya 2-1 Sao Tome ve Principe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.3
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.75
No
50%
1.39
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
72%
-39.1pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.2pp
33%
Away Win
8%
+24.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
68%
-17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liberya EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liberya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe 0-1 HT 0-0 Liberya Liberya DKE
POST-MATCH Liberya vs Sao Tome ve Principe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liberya nicked a narrow win over Sao Tome ve Principe 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Liberya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Liberya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Liberya 2-1 Sao Tome ve Principe in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liberya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liberya win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Liberya 33%, draw 33%, Sao Tome ve Principe 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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