Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Gambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gambiya EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
3.59/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.81
+52% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -21%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
40.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fildişi Sahili
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Gambiya
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.11.2023 Gambiya Gambiya 0-2 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili DKE
08.06.2013 Gambiya Gambiya 0-3 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili DKE
23.03.2013 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 3-0 HT 0-0 Gambiya Gambiya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fildişi Sahili
1-0
AWAY Gambiya
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fildişi Sahili vs Gambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fildişi Sahili squeezed past Gambiya 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fildişi Sahili as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fildişi Sahili had 62% of the ball to Gambiya's 38%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fildişi Sahili and 0.00 for Gambiya.

What was the final score of Fildişi Sahili vs Gambiya?

Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Gambiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fildişi Sahili vs Gambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fildişi Sahili 63%, draw 22%, Gambiya 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fildişi Sahili), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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