Litvanya 2-2 Finlandiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.56
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
7%
6.6
X/2
19%
4.61
X/X
9%
3.6
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.22
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.9pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 45%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.85/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.00
+150% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Finlandiya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
29.05.2014 Finlandiya Finlandiya 0-1 HT 0-1 Litvanya Litvanya BALTIK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
2-2
AWAY Finlandiya
0.48 xG 2.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
344 Passes 445
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Finlandiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Litvanya and Finlandiya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Finlandiya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Litvanya had 44% of the ball to Finlandiya's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.48 to 2.20.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Finlandiya?

Litvanya 2-2 Finlandiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Finlandiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finlandiya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 30%, draw 23%, Finlandiya 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finlandiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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