Bologna vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
3-1
HT 2-0
Bologna
İTA
Bologna 2-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna edged past Empoli 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Bologna had 70% of the ball to Empoli's 30%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.68 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bologna and 0.83 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Empoli?
Bologna 2-1 Empoli in the Italy - Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bologna 58%, draw 21%, Empoli 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.