Treaty United 0-3 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 35% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.16
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2026 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.09.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.07.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
21.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
11.10.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin ran out comfortable winners over Treaty United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Univ College Dublin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 0.83 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Treaty United 0-3 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 34%, draw 27%, Univ College Dublin 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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