Univ College Dublin 1-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 39% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.8pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -5%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.84
-8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Treaty United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
21.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
11.10.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
12.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
23.02.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-1
AWAY Treaty United
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 56% of the ball to Treaty United's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.33 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 34%, draw 34%, Treaty United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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