Finn Harps 0-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.53
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
282 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.09.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
28.06.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
10.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-2 HT 2-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.02.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-0
AWAY Longford Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Longford Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 51% of the ball to Longford Town's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Finn Harps and 1.00 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Finn Harps 0-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 43%, draw 27%, Longford Town 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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