Longford Town 0-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.25/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
-21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.09.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
28.06.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
10.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-2 HT 2-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.02.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
25.08.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
0-0
AWAY Finn Harps
64% Ball Possession 36%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Finn Harps played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Longford Town had 64% of the ball to Finn Harps's 36%, shots finished 2-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Longford Town 0-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 40%, draw 25%, Finn Harps 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Longford Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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