Treaty United 1-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +26%
1.55/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.70
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 4-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
21.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
11.10.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
12.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-0
AWAY Univ College Dublin
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United squeezed past Univ College Dublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Treaty United had 44% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 56%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Treaty United 1-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 27%, draw 25%, Univ College Dublin 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Over 2.5
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