RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Leipzig v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
1-2
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig beat Union Berlin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, RB Leipzig had 67% of the ball to Union Berlin's 33%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 4.49 to 0.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.83 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 63%, draw 18%, Union Berlin 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.