St. Albans Saints 0-4 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
22%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.44/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.56
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +101%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 22.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-1D-4L
AWAY South Melbourne
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.06.2025 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 2-2 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
03.03.2025 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
18.08.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
12.05.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-4 HT 1-2 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
20.06.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 4-0 HT 4-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
26.03.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne ran out comfortable winners over St. Albans Saints 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.17 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

St. Albans Saints 0-4 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 16%, draw 24%, South Melbourne 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✗ Under 2.5
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