Uni. Catolica vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uni. Catolica v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Uni. Catolica vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Uni. Catolica 4-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Uni. Catolica cruised past Macara 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
On the day, Uni. Catolica had 57% of the ball to Macara's 43%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 3.27 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.83 for Macara.
What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Macara?
Uni. Catolica 4-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 53%, draw 21%, Macara 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.