Annecy 5-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Apr 2026

Annecy
5-1 HT 3-0
Pau
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.39
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
11%
8.46
X/X
18%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.5
2/2
13%
6.58
2/X
4%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +30%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.40
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.5 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 398
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Pau Pau 2-0 HT 1-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
28.03.2025 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.11.2024 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
27.01.2024 Annecy Annecy 0-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
23.09.2023 Pau Pau 0-3 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
28.01.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 0-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
5-1
AWAY Pau
2.65 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
329 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy swept aside Pau 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Annecy as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Annecy had 45% of the ball to Pau's 55%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.65 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annecy and 0.83 for Pau.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Pau?

Annecy 5-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Annecy 45%, draw 27%, Pau 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annecy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annecy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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