Clermont 1-1 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.17
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.62
X/2
20%
5.22
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
12%
3.73
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.6 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bastia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2025 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
14.02.2025 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
18.10.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
02.01.2022 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FRK
28.01.2012 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.08.2011 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Bastia
1.07 xG 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
148 Passes 327
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Bastia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Clermont had 34% of the ball to Bastia's 66%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Clermont and 1.00 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Bastia?

Clermont 1-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Clermont 35%, draw 27%, Bastia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bastia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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