Red Star FC 93 3-2 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.27
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.2
X/2
10%
8.68
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1
9%
22.65
2/2
11%
6.86
2/X
4%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -21%
1.47/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.42
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.8 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Guingamp
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.28 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
339 Passes 381
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 0-4 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
01.03.2025 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
30.08.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-4 HT 2-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
3-2
AWAY Guingamp
1.01 xG 2.01
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
185 Passes 418
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 squeezed past Guingamp 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 36% of the ball to Guingamp's 64%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.01 to 2.01 — on chances, Guingamp could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.33 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp?

Red Star FC 93 3-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 49%, draw 24%, Guingamp 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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