Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion edged past Deportivo Recoleta 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 66% to 34% in Nacional Asuncion's favour, shots finished 22-8.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.80 a game for Nacional Asuncion against 0.80 for Deportivo Recoleta.
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Result & Final Score
Nacional Asuncion 2 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 55%, draw 27%, Deportivo Recoleta 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.