Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Asuncion edged past Deportivo Recoleta 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 66% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 34%, shots finished 22-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.80 for Deportivo Recoleta.
What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 52%, draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.