Krka 1-4 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 24 Apr 2026

Krka
1-4 HT 1-3
Ilirija
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.46/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.43
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ilirija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 0-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
29.03.2025 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
13.09.2024 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
15.03.2024 Krka Krka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
04.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 3-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVNK
03.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
1-4
AWAY Ilirija
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krka vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija cruised past Krka 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Ilirija made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krka had 51% of the ball to Ilirija's 49%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Krka and 1.17 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Krka vs Ilirija?

Krka 1-4 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krka 41%, draw 23%, Ilirija 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
24 Apr 2026
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