Holstebro BK 4-1 Sundby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sundby EU Bookmakers 31%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.06/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.71
-42% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sundby
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Sundby 0-3 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
22.03.2025 Sundby 1-3 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
17.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
4-1
AWAY Sundby
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK ran out comfortable winners over Sundby 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holstebro BK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 50% of the ball to Sundby's 50%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holstebro BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Holstebro BK and 0.67 for Sundby.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Sundby?

Holstebro BK 4-1 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Sundby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 48%, draw 24%, Sundby 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstebro BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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