Milsami 1-2 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -100%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
13.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
02.11.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
31.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
04.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
31.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-2
AWAY FC Sheriff
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milsami vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over Milsami 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 38% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 62%, shots finished 5-28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Milsami and 1.50 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Milsami 1-2 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - Cup on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Milsami 21%, draw 27%, FC Sheriff 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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