La Serena 4-1 Deportes Limache — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.50
-7% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.9 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportes Limache
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.98 xG 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
255 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 1-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.10.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-6 HT 1-2 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache ŞİLİK
08.09.2025 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
22.06.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
4-1
AWAY Deportes Limache
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Deportes Limache
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena cruised past Deportes Limache 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; La Serena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Serena had 40% of the ball to Deportes Limache's 60%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportes Limache led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Serena and 2.50 for Deportes Limache.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

La Serena 4-1 Deportes Limache in the Chile - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Serena 36%, draw 29%, Deportes Limache 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Serena), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ BTTS Yes
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