Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.22
+38% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.8 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palestino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
14.04.2025 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
18.08.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
18.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-3 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
21.02.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-2
AWAY Palestino
0.77 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
428 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino edged past Union La Calera 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Palestino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Union La Calera had 62% of the ball to Palestino's 38%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union La Calera and 1.33 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Union La Calera 1-2 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 38%, draw 31%, Palestino 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union La Calera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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