Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
26%
+17.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
45%
-16.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 49%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.52
+85% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 5-0 HT 3-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
06.09.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
04.08.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
23.03.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
19.02.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
29.04.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Alianza Petrolera 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.50 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Cup on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 44%, draw 28%, Alianza Petrolera 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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