Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.63
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.29 — our 37% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
2.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.69
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +140%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
10.05.2026 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.01.2026 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 0-1 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
24.11.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
21.11.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 HT 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
10.08.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
3-1
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos saw off CDS Tampico Madero 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 60% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 40%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.33 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 54%, draw 27%, CDS Tampico Madero 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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