Sutjeska Niksic 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.06
6+ Goals
7%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 32% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutjeska Niksic EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sutjeska Niksic vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem edged past Sutjeska Niksic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beitar Jerusalem as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sutjeska Niksic vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Sutjeska Niksic 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutjeska Niksic vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beitar Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sutjeska Niksic 23%, draw 27%, Beitar Jerusalem 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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