Boreham Wood 3-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 26% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Boreham Wood win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-17.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.1pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 12%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.97
+103% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Weymouth
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2022 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
21.08.2021 Weymouth Weymouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
18.05.2021 Weymouth Weymouth 1-3 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
02.02.2021 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
3-0
AWAY Weymouth
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood cruised past Weymouth 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 50% of the ball to Weymouth's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Boreham Wood and 0.50 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Weymouth?

Boreham Wood 3-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 57%, draw 23%, Weymouth 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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