Slough Town 2-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.80/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Hornchurch 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Slough Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Slough Town 2-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 38%, draw 28%, AFC Hornchurch 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slough Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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