Torquay United 1-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
41%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.66/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.65
+18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
09.11.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-3 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Dorking Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Torquay United had 44% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Torquay United and 3.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Torquay United 1-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 29%, draw 28%, Dorking Wanderers 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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