Leyton Orient 1-2 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

Leyton Orient
1 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Birmingham
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Leyton Orient vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.77
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.65
1/2 ✗
4%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
10%
7.85
X/2
17%
4.36
X/X
15%
5.17
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.5
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 4% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Leyton Orient v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leyton Orient The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham The Market 54%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
0.95 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
1.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Bad Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Bad
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 74%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Leyton Orient 1-2 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1 - 2
AWAY Birmingham
0.66 xG 1.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 460
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Leyton Orient vs Birmingham
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Birmingham shaded a tight game against Leyton Orient 2-1 on the road.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Birmingham saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.22.

Leyton Orient vs Birmingham Result & Final Score

Leyton Orient 1 - 2 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leyton Orient vs Birmingham Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 24%, draw 25%, Birmingham 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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