Wigan Athletic 1-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 30% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.58
X/2
13%
7.18
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.24/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.60
-11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.3 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
04.11.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Crawley Town
0.51 xG 1.02
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
156 Passes 574
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic squeezed past Crawley Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 27% of the ball to Crawley Town's 73%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.51 to 1.02 — on chances, Crawley Town could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 41%, draw 28%, Crawley Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
24 Aug 2024
14:30 Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
14:30 Burton Albion vs Stevenage Analysis →
17:00 Huddersfield Town vs Shrewsbury Analysis →
17:00 Exeter City vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Lincoln City vs Mansfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Wrexham vs Reading Analysis →