Guiseley 3-2 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.71/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-0D-3L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-2 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
07.02.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 2-1 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
24.10.2020 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-1 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley nicked a narrow win over United of Manchester 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, United of Manchester led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Guiseley and 1.75 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs United of Manchester?

Guiseley 3-2 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 40%, draw 21%, United of Manchester 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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