Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.01/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+40% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine and Havant & Waterlooville shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Swindon Supermarine 1-1 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 41%, draw 22%, Havant & Waterlooville 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Morpeth Town vs Rylands Analysis →
17:00 Lancaster City vs Matlock Town Analysis →
17:00 Ashton United vs Workington Analysis →
17:00 Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town Analysis →
17:00 Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →
17:00 Ilkeston Town vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →