IFK Trelleborg 3-4 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 28%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
-52% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nosaby IF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.04.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
14.10.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 3-1 HT 1-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
18.06.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF edged past IFK Trelleborg 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nosaby IF led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 2.00 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Nosaby IF?

IFK Trelleborg 3-4 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 54%, draw 19%, Nosaby IF 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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