St. Gallen 0-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.6pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.77/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.34
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.5 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 267
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.02.2025 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.09.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-3 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.04.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
04.02.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
06.08.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
0-1
AWAY Luzern
2.55 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
191 Passes 234
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ St. Gallen vs Luzern
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Luzern edged past St. Gallen 1-0 away from home in the Switzerland - Super League on 24 Aug 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 47% of the ball to Luzern's 53%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.55 to 1.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Luzern?

St. Gallen 0-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 48%, draw 23%, Luzern 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
24 Aug 2025
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