Grasshoppers 2-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
14%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.68
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
6%
7.45
X/X
7%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.2
2/2
9%
5.26
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
47%
+11.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.78/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.71
+36% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.6 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Winterthur
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
19.04.2025 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
23.11.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
09.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
2-2
AWAY Winterthur
2.20 xG 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 286
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Winterthur shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Grasshoppers at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 43% of the ball to Winterthur's 57%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.20 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.33 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Grasshoppers 2-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 59%, draw 20%, Winterthur 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grasshoppers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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