Al Nasr 1-0 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.88/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.54
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.5 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajman
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.93 xG 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
475 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
05.10.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
21.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
02.04.2024 Ajman Ajman 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAECK
16.12.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
14.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-1 HT 3-1 Ajman Ajman BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr nicked a narrow win over Ajman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Nasr and 1.00 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Ajman?

Al Nasr 1-0 Ajman in the UAE - League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 55%, draw 24%, Ajman 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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